Tradovate cash account, MGC. $1,200 on 9/27/26, one trade per session at the board's pace, your risk ladder, Tradovate's fees. Expected path through 12/31/27; the band is where 80% of outcomes land. Nothing here saves; the controls are what-ifs.
Balance 3/31/27
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Balance 9/30/27
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Balance 12/31/27
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Fees paid
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Tradovate all-in, per side
Sessions traded
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of the sessions on the calendar
Win rate
Pace
Sizing
Plan
Balance by week
Expected path with fees; the band is where 80% of outcomes land at this win rate. Gold lines mark the week the balance crosses a rung. Dashed line keeps $100 all year for comparison.
Expected balance10th–90th percentileFlat $100 all yearRisk step-up
Week of
Sessions
Risk
Balance
10th
90th
The rules in play
One trade per session. NY Mon–Fri, Asia Mon–Thu: 9 a week, Friday counted once.
Pace 6 of 9 until the board has four real weeks to measure from.
Expected value per session = (win rate − loss rate) × risk, minus fees. At 72% and 1:1 that is 0.44R.
$100 risk = 2 MGC, $50 each = a 5.0-point stop at $10/pt. $200 = 4 MGC, $300 = 6, $500 = 10.
Ladder: $100 until $5,000 · $200 until $10,000 · $300 until $15,000 · $500 until $50,000. Checked after every session; flat inside a rung; $500 kept past $50,000.
Round trip per session: 2 sides × contracts × per-side.